チバ マサル   CHIBA Masaru
  千葉 賢
   所属   経営学部 経営学科
   職種   准教授
言語種別 英語
発行・発表の年月 2022/08/08
形態種別 学術雑誌
査読 査読あり
標題 Robust and efficient specification tests in Markov-switching autoregressive models
執筆形態 単著
掲載誌名 Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes
掲載区分国外
出版社・発行元 Springer
巻・号・頁 26(1),pp.99-137
総ページ数 39
担当範囲 Model building, simulation, empirical analysis
著者・共著者 Masaru CHIBA
概要 This study develops two types of robust test statistics applicable to Markov-switching autoregressive models. The test statistics can be constructed by sum functionals of the “smoothed” probabilities that a given observation came from a particular regime and do not require the estimation of additional parameters. Monte Carlo experiments show that the tests have good finite-sample size and power properties. The tests are applied to investigate the fluctuations in real GNP growth in the U.S.